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Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sligo Rovers host Dundalk in the Premier Division (Ireland) on 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sligo Rovers 1–1 Dundalk.
Going into the match, Sligo Rovers had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 20. Dundalk had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Sligo Rovers's last 10 and 8 of Dundalk's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sligo Rovers averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Dundalk averaged 1.67 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Sligo Rovers and 1.95 from Dundalk. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 50%, against 23%, 23% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sligo Rovers (green) and Dundalk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sligo Rovers | LLLLL | 0.70 | 2.00 | 30% | 50% |
| Dundalk | LLLDL | 2.10 | 2.20 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 Jul 2026 · Dundalk 1–1 Sligo Rovers
- 25 Apr 2026 · Sligo Rovers 2–0 Dundalk
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Dundalk Win | 54% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.