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Premier League · Malta
Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sliema Wanderers host Marsaxlokk in the Premier League (Malta) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Sliema Wanderers Win — Sliema Wanderers to win. It was published at odds of 2.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 36% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sliema Wanderers had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Marsaxlokk had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sliema Wanderers's last 10 and 6 of Marsaxlokk's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sliema Wanderers averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Marsaxlokk averaged 1.43 scored and 1.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Sliema Wanderers and 1.39 from Marsaxlokk. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 36%, against 36%, 29% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 37%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sliema Wanderers | WLDDW | 1.50 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
| Marsaxlokk | LWWLW | 1.50 | 1.30 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sliema Wanderers Win | 36% | 2.55 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.