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Premier League · Malta
Sliema Wanderers vs Gzira United prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sliema Wanderers host Gzira United in the Premier League (Malta) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Sliema Wanderers Win — Sliema Wanderers to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sliema Wanderers 1–1 Gzira United.
Going into the match, Sliema Wanderers had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 14. Gzira United had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sliema Wanderers's last 10 and 4 of Gzira United's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sliema Wanderers averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Gzira United averaged 0.78 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Sliema Wanderers and 0.87 from Gzira United. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 19%, against 53%, 25% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sliema Wanderers (green) and Gzira United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sliema Wanderers | DWWWL | 1.40 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
| Gzira United | DLLLL | 0.50 | 1.80 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Sliema Wanderers Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Sliema Wanderers HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.