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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Slask Wroclaw host Lech Poznan in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Slask Wroclaw 1–4 Lech Poznan.
Going into the match, Slask Wroclaw had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 17. Lech Poznan had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Slask Wroclaw's last 10 and 6 of Lech Poznan's last 10; 8 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Slask Wroclaw averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Lech Poznan averaged 2.30 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Slask Wroclaw and 2.34 from Lech Poznan. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 55%, against 18%, 23% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Slask Wroclaw (green) and Lech Poznan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw | LLLLW | 1.20 | 1.70 | 80% | 80% |
| Lech Poznan | DWLLW | 2.80 | 1.40 | 60% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Lech Poznan Win | 59% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.