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Super Liga · Slovakia
Skalica vs Spartak Trnava prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Skalica host Spartak Trnava in the Super Liga (Slovakia) on 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Skalica had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 21. Spartak Trnava had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Skalica's last 10 and 6 of Spartak Trnava's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Skalica averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Spartak Trnava averaged 1.71 scored and 1.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Skalica and 1.75 from Spartak Trnava. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 57%, against 20%, 24% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Skalica (green) and Spartak Trnava (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skalica | DLDLL | 0.90 | 2.10 | 50% | 40% |
| Spartak Trnava | LWWDW | 2.40 | 1.30 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Jul 2026 · Spartak Trnava 1–1 Skalica
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Spartak Trnava Win | 55% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Super Liga matches that day
- Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok · 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Super Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 - Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Super Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Super Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44