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Persha Liga · Ukraine
SK Poltava vs Chernihiv prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SK Poltava host Chernihiv in the Persha Liga (Ukraine) on 2 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — SK Poltava to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: SK Poltava 3–2 Chernihiv.
Going into the match, SK Poltava had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 5. Chernihiv had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of SK Poltava's last 10 and 7 of Chernihiv's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SK Poltava averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Chernihiv averaged 0.85 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from SK Poltava and 1.10 from Chernihiv. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 18%. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SK Poltava (green) and Chernihiv (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SK Poltava | LWLDW | 1.30 | 0.50 | 30% | 50% |
| Chernihiv | LLWLW | 1.10 | 1.40 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.