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Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren vs Lommel United prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SK Beveren host Lommel United in the Jupiler Pro League (Belgium) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SK Beveren 1–3 Lommel United.
Going into the match, SK Beveren had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 18. Lommel United had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of SK Beveren's last 10 and 2 of Lommel United's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SK Beveren averaged 1.60 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Lommel United averaged 1.45 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from SK Beveren and 1.50 from Lommel United. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 36%, against 51%, 25% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SK Beveren (green) and Lommel United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SK Beveren | LWWLL | 1.20 | 1.80 | 20% | 60% |
| Lommel United | WDLLW | 1.00 | 1.30 | 20% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.