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Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK vs Lahti prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SJK host Lahti in the Veikkausliiga (Finland) on 9 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SJK 1–0 Lahti.
Going into the match, SJK had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Lahti had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of SJK's last 10 and 5 of Lahti's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SJK averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Lahti averaged 1.27 scored and 1.33 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from SJK and 1.10 from Lahti. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 35%, 27% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SJK (green) and Lahti (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Aug 2026 · SJK 1–2 Lahti
- 13 Jun 2026 · Lahti 2–3 SJK
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.