Sivasspor vs Sarıyer prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 72%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sivasspor host Sarıyer in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Sivasspor 1–1 Sarıyer.

Going into the match, Sivasspor had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Sarıyer had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Sivasspor's last 10 and 7 of Sarıyer's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sivasspor averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Sarıyer averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Sivasspor and 1.05 from Sarıyer. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 25%, against 39%, 29% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sivasspor (green) and Sarıyer (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form64% – 36%

Attack64% – 36%

Defence67% – 33%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength60% – 39%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Sivasspor	DWDDW	1.40	1.30	80%	50%
Sarıyer	LDWDL	1.30	1.40	70%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Double Chance 12	71%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	69%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.40
Over 8.5 Corners	54%	1.73
BTTS Yes	53%	1.80
Under 2.5 Goals	52%	1.80
Over 2.5 Goals	48%	2.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.