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Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sirius host AIK Stockholm in the Allsvenskan (Sweden) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sirius had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. AIK Stockholm had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sirius's last 10 and 8 of AIK Stockholm's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sirius averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home AIK Stockholm averaged 1.69 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.55 goals from Sirius and 1.33 from AIK Stockholm. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 18%, against 60%, 21% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sirius (green) and AIK Stockholm (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sirius | DWDWW | 1.40 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
| AIK Stockholm | DLLDL | 2.30 | 2.10 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · AIK Stockholm 0–3 Sirius
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| Sirius Win | 59% | 1.55 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Allsvenskan matches that day
- Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS · 24 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Allsvenskan
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.80 - Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna · 24 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Allsvenskan
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Allsvenskan
Published pick: BK Hacken Win @ 1.42