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EFL Trophy · England
Shrewsbury vs Stockport County prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shrewsbury host Stockport County in the EFL Trophy (England) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shrewsbury 0–2 Stockport County.
Going into the match, Shrewsbury had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 17. Stockport County had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Shrewsbury's last 10 and 6 of Stockport County's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shrewsbury averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Stockport County averaged 1.73 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Shrewsbury and 2.01 from Stockport County. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 58%, against 19%, 24% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shrewsbury (green) and Stockport County (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | WDLDW | 0.90 | 1.70 | 40% | 50% |
| Stockport County | WDLWL | 2.40 | 1.40 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Stockport County Win | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.