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League Two · England
Shrewsbury vs Exeter City prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shrewsbury host Exeter City in the League Two (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shrewsbury 0–1 Exeter City.
Going into the match, Shrewsbury had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 16. Exeter City had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Shrewsbury's last 10 and 4 of Exeter City's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shrewsbury averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Exeter City averaged 0.82 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.66 goals from Shrewsbury and 0.74 from Exeter City. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 41% and an away win at 32%, against 44%, 30% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shrewsbury (green) and Exeter City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | LWDLD | 0.80 | 1.60 | 30% | 40% |
| Exeter City | DWLDD | 0.90 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.