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NPFL · Nigeria
Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shooting Stars host Nasarawa United in the NPFL (Nigeria) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shooting Stars 0–0 Nasarawa United.
Going into the match, Shooting Stars had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Nasarawa United had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Shooting Stars's last 10 and 7 of Nasarawa United's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shooting Stars averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Nasarawa United averaged 1.00 scored and 2.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Shooting Stars and 0.93 from Nasarawa United. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 28%, against 57%, 26% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shooting Stars (green) and Nasarawa United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shooting Stars | LLWLL | 1.00 | 1.30 | 40% | 30% |
| Nasarawa United | WLDLW | 1.10 | 1.50 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Shooting Stars 3–2 Nasarawa United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.55 |
| Shooting Stars Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.