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First League · Russia
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shinnik Yaroslavl host Tekstilshchik in the First League (Russia) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Shinnik Yaroslavl Win — Shinnik Yaroslavl to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shinnik Yaroslavl 2–0 Tekstilshchik.
Going into the match, Shinnik Yaroslavl had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Tekstilshchik had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 10 and 4 of Tekstilshchik's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shinnik Yaroslavl averaged 1.55 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Tekstilshchik averaged 1.14 scored and 1.50 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Shinnik Yaroslavl and 0.70 from Tekstilshchik. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 15%, against 58%, 25% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shinnik Yaroslavl (green) and Tekstilshchik (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | DLDWD | 1.20 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
| Tekstilshchik | LLDWL | 0.80 | 1.70 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Shinnik Yaroslavl Win | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.68 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.