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Liga Alef · Israel
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Kfar Saba 1928 prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shimshon Tel Aviv host Kfar Saba 1928 in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 9 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shimshon Tel Aviv 3–0 Kfar Saba 1928.
Going into the match, Shimshon Tel Aviv had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Kfar Saba 1928 had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with 7 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Shimshon Tel Aviv's last 5 and 3 of Kfar Saba 1928's last 5; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shimshon Tel Aviv averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Kfar Saba 1928 averaged 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.07 goals from Shimshon Tel Aviv and 0.91 from Kfar Saba 1928. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 15%, against 43%, 28% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shimshon Tel Aviv (green) and Kfar Saba 1928 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | LWWDW | 2.00 | 1.20 | 80% | 80% |
| Kfar Saba 1928 | DLLWL | 1.40 | 1.40 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Shimshon Tel Aviv Win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Shimshon Tel Aviv HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.