Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 12Odds 1.22Market probability 75%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sheriff Tiraspol host Zimbru in the Super Liga (Moldova) on 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Sheriff Tiraspol had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 36 and conceding 7. Zimbru had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Sheriff Tiraspol's last 10 and 4 of Zimbru's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sheriff Tiraspol averaged 2.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Zimbru averaged 1.86 scored and 0.79 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Sheriff Tiraspol and 1.04 from Zimbru. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 25%, against 53%, 25% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sheriff Tiraspol (green) and Zimbru (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form65% – 35%

Attack68% – 32%

Defence67% – 33%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals63% – 38%

Overall strength66% – 33%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Sheriff Tiraspol	WWWWW	3.60	0.70	40%	60%
Zimbru	WWDDL	2.20	0.80	40%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

29 Aug 2026 · Zimbru 2–1 Sheriff Tiraspol
12 Jul 2026 · Sheriff Tiraspol 4–2 Zimbru
23 May 2026 · Sheriff Tiraspol 2–0 Zimbru
10 May 2026 · Sheriff Tiraspol 1–0 Zimbru

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	75%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.30
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.44
Sheriff Tiraspol Win	54%	1.70
BTTS Yes	54%	1.71
Over 2.5 Goals	52%	1.80
Under 2.5 Goals	48%	2.00
2nd Half Higher Goals	46%	2.01

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.