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Azadegan League · Iran
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shenavarsazi Qeshm host Mes Kerman in the Azadegan League (Iran) on 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Shenavarsazi Qeshm Win — Shenavarsazi Qeshm to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1–0 Mes Kerman.
Going into the match, Shenavarsazi Qeshm had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Mes Kerman had won 0, drawn 7 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Shenavarsazi Qeshm's last 10 and 5 of Mes Kerman's last 10; 3 and 0 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shenavarsazi Qeshm averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Mes Kerman averaged 0.75 scored and 0.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.82 goals from Shenavarsazi Qeshm and 0.59 from Mes Kerman. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 40% and an away win at 23%, against 61%, 26% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 37%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shenavarsazi Qeshm (green) and Mes Kerman (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenavarsazi Qeshm | WWDDD | 1.20 | 0.90 | 50% | 30% |
| Mes Kerman | LDDLD | 0.50 | 0.80 | 50% | 0% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.46 |
| Shenavarsazi Qeshm Win | 61% | 1.48 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 37% | 2.46 |
| 1-0 | 22% | 4.26 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Azadegan League matches that day
- Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas · 20 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC · Azadegan League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.41 · FT 4–0 - Mes Rafsanjan vs Niroye Zamini · 20 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC · Azadegan League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.36 · FT 4–1 - Be'sat Kermanshah vs Pars Jonoubi JAM · 20 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Azadegan League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–2