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Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shelbourne host Sligo Rovers in the Premier Division (Ireland) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shelbourne 5–1 Sligo Rovers.
Going into the match, Shelbourne had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Sligo Rovers had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Shelbourne's last 10 and 3 of Sligo Rovers's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shelbourne averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Sligo Rovers averaged 0.85 scored and 1.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.21 goals from Shelbourne and 0.85 from Sligo Rovers. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 12%, against 67%, 22% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shelbourne (green) and Sligo Rovers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelbourne | DWLLD | 1.00 | 1.50 | 70% | 50% |
| Sligo Rovers | LLLLL | 0.80 | 1.70 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jun 2026 · Sligo Rovers 2–2 Shelbourne
- 8 May 2026 · Shelbourne 0–0 Sligo Rovers
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 81% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Shelbourne Win | 68% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.