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Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sheffield Utd host Lincoln in the Championship (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sheffield Utd 3–0 Lincoln.
Going into the match, Sheffield Utd had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Lincoln had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Sheffield Utd's last 10 and 5 of Lincoln's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sheffield Utd averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Lincoln averaged 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.99 goals from Sheffield Utd and 0.64 from Lincoln. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 10%, against 44%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sheffield Utd (green) and Lincoln (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | LLLWL | 1.10 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Lincoln | LWWLD | 1.10 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.