Shatin vs Hong Kong FC prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.41Market probability 65%Final score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Shatin host Hong Kong FC in the Premier League (Hong Kong) on 18 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.41, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Shatin 2–2 Hong Kong FC.

Going into the match, Shatin had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Hong Kong FC had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 24 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Shatin's last 6 and 8 of Hong Kong FC's last 10; 5 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shatin averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Hong Kong FC averaged 1.25 scored and 2.63 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.98 goals from Shatin and 1.77 from Hong Kong FC. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 34%, against 50%, 23% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Shatin (green) and Hong Kong FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack56% – 44%

Defence48% – 52%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals33% – 67%

Overall strength38% – 61%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Shatin	DLLLL	1.17	2.50	50%	83%
Hong Kong FC	LDLWL	1.30	2.40	80%	90%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

1 Oct 2026 · Shatin 2–2 Hong Kong FC

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	72%	1.25
BTTS 1st Half - No	71%	1.29
BTTS Yes	65%	1.41
Over 2.5 Goals	64%	1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	56%	1.68
Under 9.5 Corners	52%	1.82
Shatin Win	48%	1.80
Under 2.5 Goals	36%	2.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.