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League Two · China
Shangyu Pterosaur vs Nantong Haimen Codion prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shangyu Pterosaur host Nantong Haimen Codion in the League Two (China) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shangyu Pterosaur 1–1 Nantong Haimen Codion.
Going into the match, Shangyu Pterosaur had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 23. Nantong Haimen Codion had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Shangyu Pterosaur's last 10 and 5 of Nantong Haimen Codion's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shangyu Pterosaur averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Nantong Haimen Codion averaged 0.75 scored and 0.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.90 goals from Shangyu Pterosaur and 1.72 from Nantong Haimen Codion. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 56%, against 22%, 28% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shangyu Pterosaur (green) and Nantong Haimen Codion (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shangyu Pterosaur | LWLLL | 0.50 | 2.30 | 40% | 60% |
| Nantong Haimen Codion | WWDDD | 1.40 | 0.80 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.62 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Nantong Haimen Codion Win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Nantong Haimen Codion HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.