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AFC Champions League Elite · International
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Daejeon Citizen prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SHANGHAI SIPG host Daejeon Citizen in the AFC Champions League Elite (International) on 13 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1 Daejeon Citizen.
Going into the match, SHANGHAI SIPG had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 13. Daejeon Citizen had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of SHANGHAI SIPG's last 10 and 7 of Daejeon Citizen's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SHANGHAI SIPG averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Daejeon Citizen averaged 2.00 scored and 1.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.13 goals from SHANGHAI SIPG and 1.40 from Daejeon Citizen. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 24%, against 43%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SHANGHAI SIPG (green) and Daejeon Citizen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHANGHAI SIPG | WWDWW | 2.30 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Daejeon Citizen | WDWDW | 2.30 | 1.20 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.