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Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shanghai Shenhua host Yunnan Yukun in the Super League (China) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Shanghai Shenhua Win — Shanghai Shenhua to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shanghai Shenhua 7–1 Yunnan Yukun.
Going into the match, Shanghai Shenhua had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Yunnan Yukun had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Shanghai Shenhua's last 10 and 6 of Yunnan Yukun's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shanghai Shenhua averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.53 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Yunnan Yukun averaged 2.08 scored and 2.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.26 goals from Shanghai Shenhua and 1.91 from Yunnan Yukun. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 20%, against 61%, 19% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shanghai Shenhua (green) and Yunnan Yukun (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Shenhua | DWWLL | 1.80 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
| Yunnan Yukun | WWLDW | 2.40 | 2.10 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Yunnan Yukun 1–0 Shanghai Shenhua
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 65% | 1.44 |
| Shanghai Shenhua Win | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Shanghai Shenhua HT & FT | 44% | 2.20 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.