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League Two · China
Shanghai Port II vs Shenzhen 2028 prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shanghai Port II host Shenzhen 2028 in the League Two (China) on 11 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shanghai Port II 2–1 Shenzhen 2028.
Going into the match, Shanghai Port II had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Shenzhen 2028 had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Shanghai Port II's last 10 and 4 of Shenzhen 2028's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shanghai Port II averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Shenzhen 2028 averaged 1.00 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from Shanghai Port II and 0.97 from Shenzhen 2028. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 24%, against 34%, 31% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shanghai Port II (green) and Shenzhen 2028 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Port II | LWWWL | 1.30 | 1.10 | 40% | 40% |
| Shenzhen 2028 | LDWLD | 1.50 | 0.90 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Shanghai Port II Win | 35% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.