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Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shamrock Rovers host Drogheda United in the Premier Division (Ireland) on 8 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shamrock Rovers 3–1 Drogheda United.
Going into the match, Shamrock Rovers had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 19. Drogheda United had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Shamrock Rovers's last 10 and 4 of Drogheda United's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shamrock Rovers averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.94 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Drogheda United averaged 1.38 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Shamrock Rovers and 1.03 from Drogheda United. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 24%, against 65%, 22% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shamrock Rovers (green) and Drogheda United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers | WLDDL | 1.60 | 1.90 | 70% | 60% |
| Drogheda United | WLWWL | 1.20 | 1.00 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 Jul 2026 · Drogheda United 0–0 Shamrock Rovers
- 4 May 2026 · Shamrock Rovers 4–1 Drogheda United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 80% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Shamrock Rovers Win | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.