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Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shamrock Rovers host Bohemians in the Premier Division (Ireland) on 12 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians.
Going into the match, Shamrock Rovers had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 19. Bohemians had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Shamrock Rovers's last 10 and 5 of Bohemians's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shamrock Rovers averaged 2.06 goals scored and 0.94 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Bohemians averaged 1.87 scored and 1.67 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.53 goals from Shamrock Rovers and 1.48 from Bohemians. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 36%, against 43%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shamrock Rovers (green) and Bohemians (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers | WWLDD | 1.60 | 1.90 | 70% | 60% |
| Bohemians | LWDWW | 2.10 | 1.20 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 May 2026 · Bohemians 1–2 Shamrock Rovers
- 17 Apr 2026 · Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.