Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 63%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Shakhtar Donetsk host Zorya Luhansk in the Premier League (Ukraine) on 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Shakhtar Donetsk had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 5. Zorya Luhansk had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Shakhtar Donetsk's last 10 and 6 of Zorya Luhansk's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shakhtar Donetsk averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Zorya Luhansk averaged 2.00 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.89 goals from Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.62 from Zorya Luhansk. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 11%, against 65%, 21% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk	LWWWW	2.20	0.50	40%	70%
Zorya Luhansk	WWLDW	1.80	1.30	60%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

23 Apr 2026 · Zorya Luhansk 1–2 Shakhtar Donetsk

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.28
Shakhtar Donetsk Win	66%	1.38
Under 3.5 Goals	63%	1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	59%	1.57
Over 2.5 Goals	58%	1.60
BTTS Yes	51%	1.83
Shakhtar Donetsk HT & FT	49%	1.91
Under 2.5 Goals	42%	2.30

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.