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FKF Premier League · Kenya
Shabana vs Nairobi United prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shabana host Nairobi United in the FKF Premier League (Kenya) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shabana 0–0 Nairobi United.
Going into the match, Shabana had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Nairobi United had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Shabana's last 10 and 4 of Nairobi United's last 10; 1 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shabana averaged 0.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Nairobi United averaged 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
The 1X2 prices imply about 39% for Shabana, 31% for the draw and 30% for Nairobi United once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shabana (green) and Nairobi United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shabana | WLDWL | 0.60 | 0.50 | 20% | 10% |
| Nairobi United | DWDDL | 1.40 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 1X | 69% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.65 |
| Shabana Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.90 |
| 0-0 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FKF Premier League matches that day
- Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · FKF Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 1–1