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Premier League · Lebanon
Shabab Al Sahel vs Safa prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shabab Al Sahel host Safa in the Premier League (Lebanon) on 13 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shabab Al Sahel 0–3 Safa.
Going into the match, Shabab Al Sahel had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Safa had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 8, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Shabab Al Sahel's last 6 and 6 of Safa's last 8; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shabab Al Sahel averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Safa averaged 1.67 scored and 2.00 conceded across 6.
The 1X2 prices imply about 34% for Shabab Al Sahel, 29% for the draw and 37% for Safa once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shabab Al Sahel (green) and Safa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shabab Al Sahel | LDLWW | 1.17 | 1.00 | 17% | 33% |
| Safa | WWDLW | 2.00 | 1.63 | 75% | 75% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Jun 2026 · Shabab Al Sahel 0–1 Safa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.72 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.20 |
| Safa Win | 39% | 2.38 |
| 0-1 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.