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League Cup · UAE
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai host Al Nasr in the League Cup (UAE) on 2 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1–1 Al Nasr.
Going into the match, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Al Nasr had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's last 10 and 7 of Al Nasr's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shabab Al Ahli Dubai averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Al Nasr averaged 1.43 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and 0.95 from Al Nasr. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 26%, against 54%, 23% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shabab Al Ahli Dubai (green) and Al Nasr (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | DWDLW | 1.50 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
| Al Nasr | WDLLW | 1.70 | 1.20 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 May 2026 · Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2–1 Al Nasr
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Win | 54% | 1.65 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.