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League One · China
Shaanxi Union vs Dongguan United prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shaanxi Union host Dongguan United in the League One (China) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shaanxi Union 5–1 Dongguan United.
Going into the match, Shaanxi Union had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Dongguan United had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Shaanxi Union's last 10 and 6 of Dongguan United's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shaanxi Union averaged 1.92 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Dongguan United averaged 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.50 goals from Shaanxi Union and 0.74 from Dongguan United. From that it rates a home win at 87%, a draw at 9% and an away win at 4%, against 66%, 19% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shaanxi Union (green) and Dongguan United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaanxi Union | WWDLW | 2.00 | 1.50 | 80% | 90% |
| Dongguan United | WDLDL | 0.90 | 2.00 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Jun 2026 · Dongguan United 0–5 Shaanxi Union
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Shaanxi Union Win | 68% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 60% | 1.54 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.