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La Liga · Spain
Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction and preview
26 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sevilla host Osasuna in the La Liga (Spain) on 26 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sevilla had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 19. Osasuna had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Sevilla's last 10 and 4 of Osasuna's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sevilla averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Osasuna averaged 1.30 scored and 2.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Sevilla and 0.85 from Osasuna. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 18%, against 50%, 29% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sevilla (green) and Osasuna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Osasuna 2–1 Sevilla
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Sevilla Win | 49% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.