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La Liga · Spain
Sevilla vs Alaves prediction and preview
6 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sevilla host Alaves in the La Liga (Spain) on 6 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Sevilla to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sevilla had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Alaves had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Sevilla's last 10 and 7 of Alaves's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sevilla averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Alaves averaged 0.90 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Sevilla and 0.98 from Alaves. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 28%, against 49%, 27% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sevilla (green) and Alaves (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
| Sevilla Win | 49% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.