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Second League - Group 1 · Russia
Sevastopol vs Lugansk prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sevastopol host Lugansk in the Second League - Group 1 (Russia) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Sevastopol to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Sevastopol 2–0 Lugansk.
Going into the match, Sevastopol had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Lugansk had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sevastopol's last 10 and 5 of Lugansk's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sevastopol averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Lugansk averaged 1.36 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.14 goals from Sevastopol and 0.93 from Lugansk. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 14%. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sevastopol (green) and Lugansk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevastopol | WWWWW | 2.10 | 1.20 | 70% | 70% |
| Lugansk | WWDWL | 2.10 | 1.00 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.