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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Sestao River vs Gimnástica Torrelavega prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sestao River host Gimnástica Torrelavega in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals — fewer than 1.5 goals in the first half. It was published at odds of 1.35, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sestao River 0–0 Gimnástica Torrelavega.
Going into the match, Sestao River had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Gimnástica Torrelavega had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sestao River's last 10 and 6 of Gimnástica Torrelavega's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sestao River averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Gimnástica Torrelavega averaged 1.86 scored and 1.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Sestao River and 0.82 from Gimnástica Torrelavega. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 17%, against 53%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sestao River | WWWLW | 1.60 | 0.70 | 50% | 30% |
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | LDLLW | 1.50 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Aug 2026 · Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Sestao River
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Sestao River Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
| Sestao River HT & FT | 36% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.