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Carioca - 2 · Brazil
Serrano RJ vs Carapebus prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Serrano RJ host Carapebus in the Carioca - 2 (Brazil) on 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Serrano RJ to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Serrano RJ 3–0 Carapebus.
Going into the match, Serrano RJ had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 17. Carapebus had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 6, with 5 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Serrano RJ's last 10 and 3 of Carapebus's last 6; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Serrano RJ averaged 0.56 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Carapebus averaged 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.27 goals from Serrano RJ and 0.82 from Carapebus. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 11%. For the published pick itself the model gives 89%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Serrano RJ (green) and Carapebus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serrano RJ | WWDWD | 0.90 | 1.70 | 30% | 40% |
| Carapebus | LLLDL | 0.83 | 2.17 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other Carioca - 2 matches that day
- Audax Rio vs São Cristóvão RJ · 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Carioca - 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - Campo Grande vs Duque de Caxias · 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Carioca - 2
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Goytacaz vs Niteroiense · 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Carioca - 2
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 2–0