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Carioca B2 · Brazil
Serra Macaense vs Santa Cruz RJ prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Serra Macaense host Santa Cruz RJ in the Carioca B2 (Brazil) on 5 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Serra Macaense to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Serra Macaense 3–0 Santa Cruz RJ.
Going into the match, Serra Macaense had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Santa Cruz RJ had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 8, with 10 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Serra Macaense's last 5 and 2 of Santa Cruz RJ's last 8; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Serra Macaense averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Santa Cruz RJ averaged 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Serra Macaense and 0.72 from Santa Cruz RJ. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 15%. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Serra Macaense (green) and Santa Cruz RJ (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serra Macaense | WWLDL | 1.40 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Santa Cruz RJ | LWWWL | 1.25 | 1.88 | 25% | 63% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.