Seraing United vs Excelsior Virton prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 65%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Seraing United host Excelsior Virton in the Challenger Pro League (Belgium) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Seraing United had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 21. Excelsior Virton had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Seraing United's last 10 and 4 of Excelsior Virton's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Seraing United averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Excelsior Virton averaged 1.73 scored and 1.45 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Seraing United and 1.61 from Excelsior Virton. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 43%, against 39%, 26% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Seraing United (green) and Excelsior Virton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form22% – 78%

Attack43% – 57%

Defence38% – 63%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength36% – 64%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Seraing United	LLWDL	1.60	2.10	70%	70%
Excelsior Virton	LLWDW	1.70	1.10	40%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	77%	1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
Double Chance 12	73%	1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	65%	1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
BTTS Yes	60%	1.57
Over 2.5 Goals	56%	1.70

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.