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Third League - Southwest · Bulgaria
Septemvri Simitli vs Belasitsa prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Septemvri Simitli host Belasitsa in the Third League - Southwest (Bulgaria) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Septemvri Simitli to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Going into the match, Septemvri Simitli had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Belasitsa had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Septemvri Simitli's last 10 and 8 of Belasitsa's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Septemvri Simitli averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Belasitsa averaged 1.33 scored and 2.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.22 goals from Septemvri Simitli and 1.67 from Belasitsa. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 29%. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Septemvri Simitli (green) and Belasitsa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Simitli | LLLDD | 1.50 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
| Belasitsa | LLLLW | 1.60 | 2.00 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.