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Persian Gulf Pro League · Iran
Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sepahan FC host Fajr Sepasi in the Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) on 8 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Sepahan FC Win — Sepahan FC to win. It was published at odds of 1.56, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sepahan FC 6–1 Fajr Sepasi.
Going into the match, Sepahan FC had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Fajr Sepasi had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 6, with 3 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 0 of Sepahan FC's last 6 and 2 of Fajr Sepasi's last 6; 0 and 0 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sepahan FC averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Fajr Sepasi averaged 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.85 goals from Sepahan FC and 0.62 from Fajr Sepasi. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 11%, against 58%, 25% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sepahan FC (green) and Fajr Sepasi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sepahan FC | WDWLL | 0.83 | 0.67 | 0% | 0% |
| Fajr Sepasi | LDDWD | 0.50 | 0.50 | 33% | 0% |
Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.56 |
| Sepahan FC Win | 58% | 1.56 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.22 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 32% | 2.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.