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K4 League · South Korea
Seosan Pioneer vs Jincheon prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Seosan Pioneer host Jincheon in the K4 League (South Korea) on 11 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Jincheon Win — Jincheon to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Seosan Pioneer 1–1 Jincheon.
Going into the match, Seosan Pioneer had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 19. Jincheon had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Seosan Pioneer's last 10 and 7 of Jincheon's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Seosan Pioneer averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Jincheon averaged 1.50 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from Seosan Pioneer and 1.85 from Jincheon. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 58%, against 20%, 22% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Seosan Pioneer (green) and Jincheon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seosan Pioneer | DLLLL | 1.00 | 1.90 | 40% | 60% |
| Jincheon | WDLWW | 1.90 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Jincheon 3–0 Seosan Pioneer
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Jincheon Win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.55 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Jincheon HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
| 0-2 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.