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Liga 2 · Indonesia
Semen Padang vs PSPS prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Semen Padang host PSPS in the Liga 2 (Indonesia) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Semen Padang 0–1 PSPS.
Going into the match, Semen Padang had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 21. PSPS had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 7, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Semen Padang's last 10 and 6 of PSPS's last 7; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Semen Padang averaged 0.20 goals scored and 2.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home PSPS averaged 1.67 scored and 2.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.91 goals from Semen Padang and 1.56 from PSPS. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 51%, against 48%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Semen Padang (green) and PSPS (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semen Padang | WDWLL | 0.40 | 2.10 | 10% | 40% |
| PSPS | WWLLW | 2.29 | 1.43 | 86% | 86% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.52 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Semen Padang Win | 48% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.