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NWSL Women · USA
Seattle Reign FC W vs North Carolina Courage W prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Seattle Reign FC W host North Carolina Courage W in the NWSL Women (USA) on 3 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Seattle Reign FC W 0–1 North Carolina Courage W.
Going into the match, Seattle Reign FC W had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. North Carolina Courage W had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Seattle Reign FC W's last 10 and 7 of North Carolina Courage W's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Seattle Reign FC W averaged 1.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home North Carolina Courage W averaged 1.92 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from Seattle Reign FC W and 1.59 from North Carolina Courage W. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 39%, against 39%, 26% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Seattle Reign FC W (green) and North Carolina Courage W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Reign FC W | WLLWW | 1.30 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
| North Carolina Courage W | LLLWL | 2.30 | 1.60 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Jul 2026 · North Carolina Courage W 3–1 Seattle Reign FC W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.