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Carioca B2 · Brazil
SE Belford Roxo vs Serra Macaense prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SE Belford Roxo host Serra Macaense in the Carioca B2 (Brazil) on 11 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — SE Belford Roxo to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: SE Belford Roxo 1–1 Serra Macaense.
Going into the match, SE Belford Roxo had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Serra Macaense had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6, with 10 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of SE Belford Roxo's last 9 and 3 of Serra Macaense's last 6; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SE Belford Roxo averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Serra Macaense averaged 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from SE Belford Roxo and 1.57 from Serra Macaense. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 40%. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SE Belford Roxo (green) and Serra Macaense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SE Belford Roxo | WWDLD | 1.78 | 1.89 | 56% | 78% |
| Serra Macaense | WWWLD | 1.67 | 1.00 | 50% | 67% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.