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UEFA Nations League · International
Scotland vs Slovenia prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Scotland host Slovenia in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Scotland 1–2 Slovenia.
Going into the match, Scotland had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 8 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Slovenia had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with 5 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Scotland's last 8 and 3 of Slovenia's last 5; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Scotland averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Slovenia averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 54% for Scotland, 27% for the draw and 20% for Slovenia once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Scotland (green) and Slovenia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Sep 2026 · Slovenia 0–0 Scotland
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Scotland Win | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.