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Regionalliga - Bayern · Germany
Schwaben Augsburg vs Bayreuth prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Schwaben Augsburg host Bayreuth in the Regionalliga - Bayern (Germany) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Bayreuth Win — Bayreuth to win. It was published at odds of 1.68, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Schwaben Augsburg 0–3 Bayreuth.
Going into the match, Schwaben Augsburg had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 20. Bayreuth had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Schwaben Augsburg's last 10 and 6 of Bayreuth's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Schwaben Augsburg averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Bayreuth averaged 2.00 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Schwaben Augsburg and 1.98 from Bayreuth. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 52%, against 26%, 20% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Schwaben Augsburg (green) and Bayreuth (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schwaben Augsburg | WLDLL | 1.30 | 2.00 | 70% | 70% |
| Bayreuth | WWLWL | 1.70 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.21 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 62% | 1.47 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.58 |
| Bayreuth Win | 54% | 1.68 |
| 1-2 | 10% | 9.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.