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Serie C - Girone C · Italy
Scafatese vs Sorrento prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Scafatese host Sorrento in the Serie C - Girone C (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Scafatese 3–2 Sorrento.
Going into the match, Scafatese had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Sorrento had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Scafatese's last 10 and 3 of Sorrento's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Scafatese averaged 1.29 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Sorrento averaged 1.00 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Scafatese and 0.94 from Sorrento. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 24%, against 38%, 30% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Scafatese (green) and Sorrento (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 61% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.