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Premier League · Uganda
SC Villa vs Mbarara City prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SC Villa host Mbarara City in the Premier League (Uganda) on 22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is SC Villa Win — SC Villa to win. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: SC Villa 2–0 Mbarara City.
Going into the match, SC Villa had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 9. Mbarara City had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of SC Villa's last 10 and 4 of Mbarara City's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SC Villa averaged 1.55 goals scored and 0.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Mbarara City averaged 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from SC Villa and 0.66 from Mbarara City. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 15%. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SC Villa (green) and Mbarara City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Villa | LWDDL | 1.60 | 0.90 | 40% | 40% |
| Mbarara City | WLDDL | 0.90 | 1.10 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 May 2026 · Mbarara City 1–3 SC Villa
Other Premier League matches that day
- KCCA vs UPDF · 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Entebbe UPPC · 22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals · FT 0–1