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Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SC Paderborn 07 host VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SC Paderborn 07 0–2 VfB Stuttgart.
Going into the match, SC Paderborn 07 had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 11. VfB Stuttgart had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of SC Paderborn 07's last 10 and 5 of VfB Stuttgart's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SC Paderborn 07 averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home VfB Stuttgart averaged 3.00 scored and 1.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from SC Paderborn 07 and 1.62 from VfB Stuttgart. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 47%, against 19%, 21% and 60% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SC Paderborn 07 (green) and VfB Stuttgart (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 | WWLLD | 1.60 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
| VfB Stuttgart | WWLLW | 2.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| VfB Stuttgart Win | 60% | 1.55 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| VfB Stuttgart HT & FT | 42% | 2.30 |
| 1-2 | 11% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.