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Frauen Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg W vs RB Leipzig W prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SC Freiburg W host RB Leipzig W in the Frauen Bundesliga (Germany) on 16 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SC Freiburg W 0–3 RB Leipzig W.
Going into the match, SC Freiburg W had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 14. RB Leipzig W had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of SC Freiburg W's last 10 and 5 of RB Leipzig W's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SC Freiburg W averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home RB Leipzig W averaged 1.17 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from SC Freiburg W and 1.45 from RB Leipzig W. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 38%, against 37%, 26% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SC Freiburg W (green) and RB Leipzig W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg W | WWLWL | 1.80 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
| RB Leipzig W | WWLWD | 1.50 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.